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  • SPC - No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 26 21:06:01 UTC 2022
    on January 26, 2022 at 9:05 pm

    No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 26 21:06:01 UTC 2022.

  • SPC MD 93
    on January 26, 2022 at 7:58 pm

    MD 0093 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...NORTHWEST TEXAS...AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA Mesoscale Discussion 0093 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 PM CST Wed Jan 26 2022 Areas affected...Parts of the Texas Panhandle...Northwest Texas...and western Oklahoma Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 261957Z - 270000Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow with localized rates of 1 inch per hour are possible across parts of the Texas Panhandle, Northwest Texas, and western Oklahoma this afternoon and early evening. DISCUSSION...Latest water vapor imagery depicts a compact shortwave trough moving eastward across eastern NM this afternoon, with modest midlevel height falls overspreading parts of the TX Panhandle, Northwest TX, and eventually western OK. As the strengthening ascent preceding the shortwave trough moves over a deep subfreezing layer per the latest RAP forecast soundings, precipitation rates will gradually increase during the afternoon and early evening hours. While the lack of a stronger frontogenetic circulation may limit the overall organization and intensity of any snow band that develops, increasing low/mid-level warm air advection intersecting a relatively deep/saturated dendritic growth zone should support localized snowfall rates of 1 inch per hour. ..Weinman.. 01/26/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 34819810 34079866 33360032 33640104 34620084 35080040 35519981 35779910 35809825 34819810 Read more

  • SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
    on January 26, 2022 at 7:34 pm

    SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0133 PM CST Wed Jan 26 2022 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes needed. Latest model guidance continues to show low fire weather potential outside of the Southwest (see the previous discussion below for more details on this regional concern). ..Moore.. 01/26/2022 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0122 AM CST Wed Jan 26 2022/ ...Synopsis... Upper-level troughing will intensify on Thursday across from the Plains to the East Coast. As this occurs, another surface high pressure system will reinforce cold air across much of the Plains and upper Midwest. In the West, an upper ridge will amplify across the Great Basin, strengthening the surface anticyclone within the region. Cool/cold conditions, precipitation, and generally light winds will keep fire weather concerns minimal in most locations. The surface pattern will again favor northerly/northeasterly winds in southern California and the lower Colorado River Valley. Though RH will fall to perhaps below 15%, live and dead fuel moisture remains high enough to keep fire concerns low in these areas as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

  • SPC Jan 26, 2022 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
    on January 26, 2022 at 7:15 pm

    SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0111 PM CST Wed Jan 26 2022 Valid 262000Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible across portions of southern Florida through the early evening, although severe storms are not expected. ...Discussion... No change was made to the previous convective outlook. ..Smith.. 01/26/2022 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 AM CST Wed Jan 26 2022/ ...Synopsis... A cold front will drift southward into south FL through the day and into tonight. Larger-scale forcing for ascent will be weak given only subtle perturbations within a zonal flow regime aloft, but storm coverage could be aided some by pockets of surface heating within cloud breaks this afternoon. Despite MLCAPE of 750-1000 J/kg this afternoon and effective bulk shear near 35 kt, poor midlevel lapse rates and weak low-level flow both suggest that severe storms are unlikely. Read more

  • SPC Jan 26, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
    on January 26, 2022 at 5:25 pm

    SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 AM CST Wed Jan 26 2022 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the east-central and southeast Florida Coast Thursday. ...Synopsis... The large-scale upper-air pattern will feature a mean mid-level trough east of the Rockies with it influencing conditions from the Great Plains east to the Eastern Seaboard. Farther west, a ridge will reside over the West Coast. Cool/stable conditions will prevail across almost all of the Lower 48 states. The exception may be near the immediate coast of southeast FL where a few low-topped thunderstorms may develop over the Gulf Stream and approach the coast in an otherwise docile, post-frontal airmass located over FL and the adjacent Atlantic waters. ..Smith.. 01/26/2022 Read more

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